Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 1
BAH
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 3
BAH
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 0
IPI
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
BAH
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
COL
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
ALA
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 3
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | -1 |