Bahía vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
4 - 1
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
5 - 0
ALT
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
4DE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
ABC
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
ABC
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 1
ABC
37%
23%
40%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |