Bahía vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
AMF
0 - 1
BAH
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 2
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
COT
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
5 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PPE
0 - 2
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |