Bahía vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BAH
5 - 0
SAO
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAH
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
BAH
0 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
POR
2 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
0 - 0
POR
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
POR
0 - 1
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
POR
1 - 1
ATP
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |