EC Avenida vs Veranópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
ECA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 0
ECA
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 1
PEL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 0
ECA
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 2
ECA
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Veranópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
VER
2 - 2
CRU
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 0
VER
17%
22%
60%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 4
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 2
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |