EC Avenida vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 0
ECA
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
YPI
4 - 1
ECA
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ECA
0 - 1
YPI
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
URS
1 - 1
ECA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
ECA
1 - 0
URS
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
61%
24%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAS
3 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 1
CRU
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |