EC Avenida vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 0
CAX
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ECA
0 - 0
VER
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 1
ECA
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ECS
0 - 0
ECA
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRA
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
79%
16%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRU
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SLU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |