EC Avenida vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
54.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
ECA
61%
23%
17%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
LAJ
0 - 1
ECA
62%
22%
15%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ECA
1 - 3
GRE
10%
22%
68%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ECA
1 - 3
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 0
ECA
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
URS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 2
AIM
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |