EC Avenida vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECA
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
2 - 2
YPI
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
3 - 3
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ECS
3 - 0
ECA
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 0
VER
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAJ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
LAJ
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAJ
3 - 1
PEL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 2
CAX
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |