EC Avenida vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
80.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
26%
0-2
20.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 0
ECA
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
ECA
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 0
BRA
17%
24%
60%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 0
ECA
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
18%
27%
55%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
JUV
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
GRE
6%
18%
76%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
ECS
84%
12%
5%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
9%
19%
73%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 3
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |