EC Avenida vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 0
ECA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
0 - 2
VER
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
ECA
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
VER
3 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 7
SCI
8%
19%
73%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ISM
3 - 2
BRA
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |