Ebolitana vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
RAA
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
EBO
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
0 - 0
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
EBO
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
USV
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 2
PRG
29%
29%
42%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PRG
0 - 0
USV
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
PRG
32%
30%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
APR
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |