Ebolitana vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
APR
1 - 0
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 1
MIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
USV
0 - 1
EBO
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 1
FON
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 1
EBO
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
NEA
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
PAG
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
GIU
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
PAG
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |