Ebolitana vs Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 0
EBO
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 6
GAV
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
4 - 0
EBO
33%
26%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 1
GIU
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 2
EBO
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 2
FCC
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 2
GAV
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
NEA
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 2
APR
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |