Ebolitana vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
EBO
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
USV
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
EBO
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
EBO
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EBO
2 - 4
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
FCC
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
RAA
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
APR
71%
19%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
APR
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
PAG
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +4 |