Ebbsfleet United vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HAL
2 - 0
EBB
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EBB
0 - 1
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
WOK
1 - 1
EBB
62%
20%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
EBB
1 - 1
YEO
19%
23%
57%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOS
2 - 2
EBB
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
YOR
2 - 1
DAG
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BOS
3 - 1
YOR
25%
25%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
OLD
0 - 2
YOR
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
YOR
1 - 2
SUT
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GAI
1 - 0
YOR
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -2 |