Ebbsfleet United vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SOL
2 - 1
EBB
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EBB
0 - 2
TOW
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DAG
1 - 3
EBB
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EBB
1 - 2
BRO
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EBB
1 - 1
HAV
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 1
KIN
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
WOR
19%
18%
64%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LEW
3 - 4
WOR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEA
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 2
WOR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |