Ebbsfleet United vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
STF
1 - 1
EBB
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
STA
3 - 3
EBB
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
EBB
2 - 0
FAR
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AFC
1 - 1
EBB
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
DAG
0 - 4
EBB
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 0
AFC
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
BAR
16%
22%
61%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LEI
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 2
STE
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
WOK
3 - 0
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |