Ebbsfleet United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
EBB
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
WRE
1 - 1
EBB
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
KID
2 - 2
EBB
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
EBB
1 - 4
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAT
1 - 3
EBB
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
KID
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
1 - 0
WRE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
2 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HAY
2 - 3
LUT
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
LUT
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |