Ebbsfleet United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
EBB
2 - 2
CAM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
EBB
2 - 1
EAS
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TRA
4 - 2
EBB
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ALD
1 - 1
EBB
38%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GUL
1 - 1
EBB
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
CHE
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
WIG
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 5
CHE
23%
22%
56%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |