Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
EBB
1 - 5
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHM
1 - 5
EBB
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 3
EBB
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
EBB
0 - 1
WES
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EBB
1 - 1
WEL
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
STA
3 - 5
CHM
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHM
1 - 5
EBB
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HAY
2 - 1
CHM
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CHM
3 - 2
EAS
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CHM
4 - 0
HEM
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |