Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 3
EBB
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EBB
4 - 0
STA
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
EBB
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
EBB
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EBB
0 - 0
BIS
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 1
FAR
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHM
3 - 1
STA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 2
CHM
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 2
WEL
42%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
BIS
2 - 2
CHM
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |