Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-1
EB / Streymur vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EB / Streymur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
EBS
3 - 2
TOF
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
EBS
3 - 1
HBT
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
EBS
3 - 2
TOF
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NSI
2 - 2
EBS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
VES
1 - 7
EBS
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
BAN
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 4
QAR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
QAR
38%
31%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKN
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KHA
1 - 1
QAR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |