FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-2
Eastleigh vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 0
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 0
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 1
MAI
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
EAS
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
HAR
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 0
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 1
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WEL
4 - 1
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HUN
1 - 2
WEL
25%
26%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
WEL
7 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |