Eastleigh vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WOK
1 - 0
EAS
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 1
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
EAS
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 2
DAR
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 3
EAS
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
STA
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
THU
0 - 5
HOR
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 2
THU
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TON
3 - 2
THU
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 3
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |