Eastleigh vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 3
FAR
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STA
0 - 5
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
WEL
4 - 2
EAS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 1
WOK
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 4
WEL
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
WES
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
THU
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
THU
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
HAV
31%
25%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 0
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |