Eastleigh vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GAT
2 - 1
EAS
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 1
SUT
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 1
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
SOL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 2
FYL
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
7 - 0
TAM
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 2
ALD
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 1
TAM
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
HAR
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 0
TAM
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |