Eastleigh vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
0 - 1
GRI
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 4
EAS
26%
25%
48%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
DOV
1 - 2
EAS
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
EAS
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
HAL
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 4
CHE
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALD
31%
26%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
SOU
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KID
0 - 1
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |