Eastleigh vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
YEO
2 - 1
EAS
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 0
EAS
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 0
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 1
ALT
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 2
ROC
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 0
SOL
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOT
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |