Eastleigh vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EAS
3 - 2
CHE
63%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KID
0 - 1
EAS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
NUN
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EAS
4 - 1
HAL
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
EAS
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
ALT
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 3
LIN
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
5 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
LIN
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
WRE
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |