Eastleigh vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
WRE
2 - 1
EAS
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
EAS
38%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 2
EAS
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 2
FYL
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 1
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
HER
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HER
4 - 1
DOR
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
HOR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FRO
0 - 3
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WEY
0 - 2
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |