National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Eastleigh vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
KID
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 2
EAS
26%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 2
EAS
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 1
ALF
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
3 - 1
ALD
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
GRI
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
WRE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 2
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
2 - 2
GAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |