Eastleigh vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
WHI
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
EAS
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 4
EAS
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
EAS
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 2
HAV
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FAR
3 - 2
TON
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
FAR
20%
22%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
FAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 0
FAR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |