Eastleigh vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
EAS
0 - 1
DOV
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 3
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRI
2 - 1
EAS
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 2
WRE
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 2
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WRE
4 - 0
ALF
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
37%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 0
DAR
63%
19%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
CHE
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |