Eastleigh vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
3 - 1
DOR
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
TON
3 - 1
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
BOR
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAI
0 - 2
EAS
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
BRO
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 1
HOR
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
DOV
1 - 0
HOR
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 4
HOR
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAT
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |