Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BRR
5 - 0
EAS
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
GOL
1 - 1
EAS
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 1
EAS
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 0
GCK
18%
18%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
EAS
33%
22%
44%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 1
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 2
MOR
24%
21%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
OLY
3 - 0
LOG
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LOG
3 - 2
GOL
25%
20%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |