Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Brisbane Roar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
12º
12º
27
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 4
BRI
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
SUN
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
EAS
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 4
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 3
GOL
20%
21%
60%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BRR
2 - 3
GCK
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 4
BRR
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 4
OLY
39%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 1
BRR
83%
11%
5%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
BRR
1 - 2
PEN
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |