Eastern Suburbs vs West Coast Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
23
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
MEL
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
47%
23%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
ECB
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
AUC
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
EAS
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
West Coast Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
WCR
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 1
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
WCR
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WCR
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 5
BIR
12%
15%
74%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -2 |