Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
EAS
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 3
TEA
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 3
EAS
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
WAI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 4
EAS
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 3
CAN
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 1
WEL
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 4
WEL
41%
22%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 3
AUC
8%
20%
72%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TEA
2 - 2
WEL
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |