Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 4
EAS
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 0
EAS
6%
18%
76%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AUF
1 - 0
EAS
2%
5%
94%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
EAS
8 - 0
FRU
93%
6%
1%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
33%
24%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TAS
0 - 2
WAI
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
WAI
3 - 1
WEL
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AUC
5 - 2
WAI
77%
14%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
WAI
1 - 4
CAN
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |