Eastern Suburbs vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EAS
3 - 0
TAS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 7
EAS
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 0
EAS
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 2
AUC
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 5
EAS
23%
27%
51%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
WAI
1 - 2
HAW
76%
14%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WAI
2 - 3
WEL
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |