Eastern Suburbs vs Tauranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
25
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAO
2 - 1
EAS
13%
16%
71%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 5
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
TCU
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 4
AFC
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
4 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
6 - 0
MUF
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |