Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 3
EAS
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
WAI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TEA
3 - 1
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
HAW
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
HAW
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
WEL
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 2
SOU
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
AUC
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |