Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TEA
4 - 1
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HIE
0 - 4
EAS
7%
10%
84%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
ABM
2 - 2
EAS
2%
4%
94%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 1
HEK
73%
15%
11%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WAI
1 - 0
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
3 - 4
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 1
CAN
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TAS
3 - 1
HAW
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 2
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 2
HAW
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |