Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
4º
2º
26
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
WES
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAS
11%
15%
74%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
EAS
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 1
MEL
61%
18%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
HAW
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
HAW
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
4 - 1
EAF
85%
10%
6%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 2
WCR
89%
8%
4%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |