Eastern Suburbs vs East Coast Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
22
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
AUC
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
EAS
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
BAO
85%
10%
4%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 2
EAS
19%
18%
63%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAW
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
BAO
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
ECB
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 2
EAS
19%
18%
63%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ECB
2 - 0
MEL
56%
19%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
ECB
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |