Eastern Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
4º
13
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 5
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 5
EAS
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 2
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 4
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
NAP
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 3
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -3 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
WEL
56%
20%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |