Eastern Lions vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
80.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AVH
5 - 1
ELS
90%
8%
3%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 2
DAC
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
ELS
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 1
ALM
18%
20%
63%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
OAK
1 - 1
ELS
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 3
SOU
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
BEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |