Eastbourne Borough vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
WOK
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
EAS
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
EAS
71%
17%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 0
SUT
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
EAS
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 0
THU
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
DOR
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WES
2 - 2
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
SUT
18%
24%
59%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |