East Thurrock United FC vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
4 - 1
EAS
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 0
LEW
69%
17%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 3
EAS
46%
21%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
HAY
2 - 1
WIN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 1
HAY
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 2
BIS
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 1
WIN
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |